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Category Archives: Intelligence
ISIS and CW in Europe
Again this week ISIS has conducted a major terrorist attack in Europe by ISIS. By targeting crowds of people at transportation hubs used by millions, they appear to have been trying to kill as many as possible with as much … Continue reading
ISIS CW Attacks in Europe or Beyond?
In 2016, ISIS may once again take its terror out of the region of its “caliphate.” It had success in Paris last November and is losing ground in Iraq. Watch out for a new horror—they may take chemical attacks overseas—to … Continue reading
Posted in Intelligence, Iraq, ISIL, ISIS, ISIS Chemical Weapons, Sunni, Syria, Syria CW, Terrorism, United Nations, WMD
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Iran Nuclear Deal – IAEA calls Iran out Weapon Design Work
The IAEA report, now circulating publicly, states clearly that Iran conducted nuclear weapon design related efforts before 2003 and between 2004 and 2009. Iran denies this. Now it is up to the IAEA Board of Governors and the UN Security … Continue reading
Posted in Intelligence, Iran, United Nations
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Iranian General Killed in Syria – US Iran Policy – Nuclear Deal Prospects
The Iran nuclear deal would be a whole lot more palatable if we had a clear picture of a robust Iran strategy that included actions to punish the part of the Iranian government that has killed so many Americans. Nuclear … Continue reading
Posted in Intelligence, Iran, ISIS, Syria, United Nations, WMD
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Iran Verification – Wobbly
Verification is wobbly. Yes the provisions are better than other IAEA systems, but this is nothing compared to the access and techniques used in Iraq. Moreover, it is very sensitive to how aggressive the IAEA intends to be. And there … Continue reading
Posted in Intelligence, Iran, Iraq, Russia, United Nations, WMD
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A Nuclear Deal?
Iran needs this more than US. The sanctions hurt them. If there is an agreement, they will get out of sanctions much faster than if they simply wait for sanctions to erode or collapse. What does the US get? … Continue reading
Posted in Intelligence, Iran, Russia, United Nations, WMD
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Looming Iran Nuclear Deal
Secretary Kerry in a question and answer session yesterday seemed to be saying that Iran’s progress in weaponization, that is developing and testing the design of a nuclear weapon is not important for the completion of a deal with Iran. … Continue reading
Posted in Intelligence, Iran, Russia, United Nations, WMD
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Judy Miller’s Book
“The Story” provides a fascinating perspective on a terrible period. For those who want to look at the Iraq mess from various angles, this will add a valuable perspective (she quotes me in it, so I may not be unbiased). … Continue reading
Posted in Intelligence, Iraq, United Nations, WMD
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Policy and Intelligence
There has always been a debate about the relationship between the Intelligence Community and the Policy leadership. The idea was that those charged with intelligence should stick to intelligence collection and assessments. For the past few weeks, one of the … Continue reading
Posted in Intelligence, Iran, WMD
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Monitoring Iran? Don’t bet on it…
There are a series of massive problems with the Iran nuclear agreement. A key one is the assertion of tough inspections. The diminished US objective of “limiting” Iran’s enrichment capacity to a point where there would be a one-year “breakout” … Continue reading
Posted in Intelligence, Iran, Iraq, ISIS, Russia, United Nations, WMD
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